Providence
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 92.5374Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 A Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 15-10 206 H Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 16-11 214 A Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 4-10 221 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 7- 8 228 H Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 7- 8 302 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 16- 9 307 A Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 9-15 314 N Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 5-21 318 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 12- 3 321 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 17-18 328 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 13-14 404 H Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 8-15 411 A Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 10- 9 418 H Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 8- 7 424 A St Johns (NY) Big East ( 2-12, 87.9) 18-10 430 H Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 14- 7 o 502 H Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 6-14 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 A Holy Cross (MA) 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.11
206 H Bryant 16-11 5 5 0.20
214 A Harvard 4-10 -6 -5 -0.51
221 H Brown 7- 8 -1 1 -1.73
228 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.57
302 H Merrimack 16- 9 7 5 1.56
307 A Loyola 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.84
314 N Duke 5-21 -16 -6 -0.92
318 H Quinnipiac 12- 3 9 7 0.30
321 H Air Force 17-18 -1 3 - -3.58
328 A Marquette 13-14 -1 0 -0.60
404 H Georgetown 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.93
411 A Villanova 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.88
418 H Denver 8- 7 1 -1 1.74
424 A St Johns (NY) 18-10 8 3 + 3.69
430 H Villanova 14- 7 o 7 1 +++ 6.13
502 H Georgetown 6-14 o -8 -4 - -2.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.57 307 A Loyola 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.84 321 H Air Force 17-18 -1 3 - -3.58 404 H Georgetown 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.93 502 H Georgetown 6-14 o -8 -4 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Villanova 14- 7 o 7 1 +++ 6.13 131 A Holy Cross (MA) 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.11 411 A Villanova 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.88 424 A St Johns (NY) 18-10 8 3 + 3.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 15-10 -9.63 10.97 1.38 0.84 20.78
3 H Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 16-11 -10.78 9.81 -1.38 0.84 14.21
3 A Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 4-10 -3.24 17.35 1.38 0.84 -0.79
3 H Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 7- 8 -6.72 13.88 -1.38 0.84 -3.41
3 H Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 7- 8 -9.56 11.04 -1.38 0.84 -4.60
3 H Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 16- 9 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.84 13.12
3 A Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 9-15 -5.58 15.02 1.38 0.84 -1.77
3 N Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 5-21 -1.28 19.32 -0.00 0.84 -0.54
3 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 12- 3 -12.69 7.91 -1.38 0.84 11.00
3 H Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 17-18 -8.57 12.03 -1.38 0.84 -4.18
3 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 13-14 -8.34 12.26 1.38 0.84 -2.93
3 H Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 8-15 -1.92 18.68 -1.38 0.84 -1.39
3 A Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 10- 9 -6.85 13.74 1.38 0.84 25.46
3 H Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 8- 7 -5.25 15.35 -1.38 0.84 23.53
3 A St Johns (NY) ( 2-12, 87.9) 18-10 -12.05 8.55 1.38 0.84 16.71
3 H Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 14- 7 -6.85 13.74 -1.38 0.84 20.83
3 H Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 6-14 -1.92 18.68 -1.38 0.84 -1.39
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124.65
|
winning pts = 145.6403 losing points = -20.9949
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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