Providence
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 91.6682Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 A Holy Cross ( 6- 8, 89.6) 15-10 206 H Bryant ( 7- 5, 88.7) 16-11 214 A Harvard ( 9- 4, 96.3) 4-10 221 H Brown ( 6- 7, 92.5) 7- 8 228 H Fairfield ( 4-10, 89.6) 7- 8 302 H Merrimack ( 7- 8, 87.5) 16- 9 307 A Loyola ( 9- 5, 93.7) 9-15 314 N Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 5-21 318 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 86.4) 12- 3 321 H Air Force ( 6- 7, 90.4) 17-18 328 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.0) 13-14 404 H Georgetown ( 8- 4, 97.2) 8-15 411 A Villanova ( 6- 7, 92.8) 10- 9 418 H Denver ( 6- 7, 94.0) 8- 7 424 A St Johns ( 2-12, 87.2) 18-10 430 H Villanova ( 6- 7, 92.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 A Holy Cross 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.23
206 H Bryant 16-11 5 4 0.69
214 A Harvard 4-10 -6 -6 -0.05
221 H Brown 7- 8 -1 1 -1.53
228 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.42
302 H Merrimack 16- 9 7 5 1.55
307 A Loyola 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.69
314 N Duke 5-21 -16 -6 -0.72
318 H Quinnipiac 12- 3 9 7 0.37
321 H Air Force 17-18 -1 3 - -3.59
328 A Marquette 13-14 -1 -1 -0.36
404 H Georgetown 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.80
411 A Villanova 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.48
418 H Denver 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.02
424 A St Johns 18-10 8 3 + 3.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.42 307 A Loyola 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.69 321 H Air Force 17-18 -1 3 - -3.59 404 H Georgetown 8-15 -7 -4 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 A Holy Cross 15-10 5 1 ++ 4.23 411 A Villanova 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.48 418 H Denver 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.02 424 A St Johns 18-10 8 3 + 3.83 |
Providence Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Albany | Albany | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Albany | |
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | Providence | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Providence | |
| Binghamton | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Boston Univ | |
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Providence | Providence | ||
| Bucknell | Providence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Canisius | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Cleveland St | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Dartmouth | |
| Delaware | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Denver | Providence | Providence | ||
| Detroit | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Hampton | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hobart | Providence | Providence | ||
| Hofstra | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Providence | |
| Holy Cross | Providence | Providence | ||
| Iona | Providence | Providence 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| JHU | JHU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | JHU | |
| Lafayette | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Providence | |
| Le Moyne | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Lehigh | Lehigh | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Lehigh | |
| LIU | Providence | Providence | ||
| Loyola | Loyola | Loyola | ||
| Manhattan | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Providence | |
| Marist | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Providence | |
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | UMass | |
| UMassLowell | Providence | Providence 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mercer | Providence | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Providence | |
| Mercyhurst | Providence | Providence | ||
| Merrimack | Providence | Providence | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth | Providence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| Mt St Marys | Providence | Providence 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Navy | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| NJIT | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Pennsylvania | |
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Queens | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Quinnipiac | Providence | Providence | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rob Morris | Providence | Providence | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Providence | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Providence | |
| Siena | Providence | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Providence | |
| St Bonnies | Providence | Providence | ||
| St Johns | Providence | Providence | ||
| St Josephs | St Josephs | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St Josephs | |
| Stony Brook | Providence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Towson | |
| UMBC | Providence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Utah | |
| Vermont | Providence | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Providence | |
| Villanova | Providence | Providence | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Providence | Providence | ||
| Wagner | Providence | Providence | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale 3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 39
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
15 A Holy Cross ( 6- 8, 89.6) 15-10 -10.32 10.97 1.32 0.89 21.97
11 H Bryant ( 7- 5, 88.7) 16-11 -11.22 10.07 -1.32 0.89 15.64
21 A Harvard ( 9- 4, 96.3) 4-10 -3.61 17.68 1.32 0.89 -1.02
20 H Brown ( 6- 7, 92.5) 7- 8 -7.44 13.85 -1.32 0.89 -3.91
23 H Fairfield ( 4-10, 89.6) 7- 8 -10.33 10.96 -1.32 0.89 -5.20
2 H Merrimack ( 7- 8, 87.5) 16- 9 -12.36 8.93 -1.32 0.89 13.59
15 A Loyola ( 9- 5, 93.7) 9-15 -6.24 15.05 1.32 0.89 -2.20
7 N Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 5-21 -1.95 19.34 -0.00 0.89 -0.87
8 H Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 86.4) 12- 3 -13.54 7.75 -1.32 0.89 11.49
25 H Air Force ( 6- 7, 90.4) 17-18 -9.50 11.79 -1.32 0.89 -4.84
19 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.0) 13-14 -8.92 12.37 1.32 0.89 -3.39
10 H Georgetown ( 8- 4, 97.2) 8-15 -2.71 18.58 -1.32 0.89 -1.80
24 A Villanova ( 6- 7, 92.8) 10- 9 -7.08 14.21 1.32 0.89 27.76
24 H Denver ( 6- 7, 94.0) 8- 7 -5.89 15.40 -1.32 0.89 25.16
23 A St Johns ( 2-12, 87.2) 18-10 -12.73 8.57 1.32 0.89 17.67
------
110.03
|
winning pts = 133.2719 losing points = -23.2407
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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